President and Founder of the Eurasia Group
What are the World's Biggest Political Risks Today?
About the Topic
2014 Elizabeth French Hitchcock Lecture
About the Speaker
In a world with fraying coordination between major powers and a lack of effective global leadership, geopolitical flare-ups are burning brighter, for longer, more often. And such turmoil, from Syria to Ukraine, only perpetuates this leadership vacuum. For the first time since the financial crisis, the blockbuster economic risks-such as the possibility that the Eurozone would implode, that China would suffer a hard landing, or that the United States' economic recovery would crumble under a mountain of growing debts and Washington gridlock-have all been assuaged. Instead, political concerns are overwhelmingly driving the world's risk landscape. Ian Bremmer will take a tour of the world's most prevalent geopolitical flashpoints, weaving them into the broader risk context that will drive debate for the coming months. What does the United States' perceived foreign policy disengagement mean for its allies and the world's most tumultuous regions? As emerging markets increasingly diverge in their outlooks, who are the winners and losers? Where will unrest and political uncertainty impact markets-- and where might we see political shocks strike next?
Ian Bremmer is the president and founder of Eurasia Group, the leading global political risk research and consulting firm.
In 1998, Bremmer established Eurasia Group with just $25,000. At present, the company has offices in New York, Washington, and London, as well as a network of experts and resources in 90 countries. Eurasia Group provides analysis and expertise about how political developments and national security dynamics move markets and shape investment environments across the globe.
Bremmer created Wall Street's first global political risk index (GPRI). He is the founding chairman of the World Economic Forum's Global Agenda Council on Geopolitical Risk and is an active public speaker. He has authored several books including the national bestsellers Every Nation for Itself: Winners and Losers in a G-Zero World and The End of the Free Market: Who Wins the War Between States and Corporations? Bremmer is a contributor to the Financial Times A-List and Reuters.com. He has written hundreds of articles for publications including The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, The New York Times, Newsweek, Harvard Business Review, and Foreign Affairs. He appears regularly on CNBC, Fox News Channel, Bloomberg Television, National Public Radio, the BBC, and other networks.
Bremmer earned a PhD in political science from Stanford University in 1994 and was the youngest-ever national fellow at the Hoover Institution. He is a global research professor at New York University and has held faculty positions at Columbia University, the EastWest Institute and the World Policy Institute. In 2007, Bremmer was named a Young Global Leader of the World Economic Forum. His analysis focuses on global macro political trends and emerging markets, which he defines as "those countries where politics matter at least as much as economics for market outcomes."